Record Q2 Cash Flow, 81% Q3 Gross Margin, and Tight Supply Wins (MU Q2 2026 Earnings Call)
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Micron’s fiscal Q2 delivered record revenue, gross margin, EPS, and free cash flow, and management tied the strength to AI-driven memory demand meeting structurally constrained supply. The company’s fiscal Q3 outlook reinforces that momentum with an 81% gross margin guide.
AI demand plus supply constraints push Micron to record cash and profitability
Micron framed fiscal Q2 performance as the financial output of AI-driven memory intensity colliding with structural supply constraints, resulting in stellar records across revenue, gross margin, EPS, and free cash flow. CFO Mark Murphy reported fiscal Q2 revenue of $23.9B, up 196% year over year, and highlighted that both DRAM and NAND reached records as pricing and mix improved under tight conditions.
Fiscal Q3 outlook targets 81% gross margin as tightness extends
Management’s forward view reinforces that the margin engine is supported by market tightness and AI-linked investment cycles rather than just near-term volume. CFO Mark Murphy stated, "We provide a strong guide up... into the third quarter," and guided fiscal Q3 gross margin to approximately 81%, adding that "we expect the market conditions to remain tight beyond 2026." He also noted that at these gross margin levels, incremental price changes should matter less, while AI-driven demand for high-performance memory remains central.
DRAM and NAND value-add ramps, plus SCAs improve visibility
Micron’s product and customer engagement plan connects AI compute needs to capacity and technology ramp milestones. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said Micron signed its first five-year strategic customer agreement, and he described SCAs as multiyear structures designed to give customers "stability" and commitments over a multiyear horizon. On the technology side, he emphasized the ramp path for 1γ DRAM and G9 NAND, including that 1γ is "on track to become a majority of our DRAM bit mix by mid-calendar 2026," while G9 is also expected to become a majority of NAND bits by mid-calendar 2026. He also linked AI demand to tighter allocation across end markets, with demand remaining strong even as price-sensitive segments may feel pressure.
Allocation and SCA questions underscore how customers share scarcity
In Q&A, the key issue was how Micron allocates scarce supply across end markets and whether SCAs influence downside outcomes. When asked about allocation across PCs and smartphones versus AI, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said demand stays "pretty strong" overall even though price-sensitive markets may see some impact, and he emphasized a diversified supply approach across data center, PCs, smartphones, automotive, and embedded. On customer fulfillment levels, he reiterated that "some of our key customers" are able to fulfill "only 50% to two-thirds of their demand in the medium term." On the margin-safety question for SCAs, Mehrotra declined specifics but said SCAs have "robust provisions" and are meant to provide multiyear visibility and stability for Micron and customers amid tight supply.