COST
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
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Mkt Cap: $459.01B
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Costco Q2 Powering Value With Strong Comps and Expanding Digital (COST Q2 2026 Earnings Call)

By Dr. Graph | Updated on Apr 7, 2026 | earnings

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Costco’s second quarter showed reinforcing momentum from member traffic and digitally-enabled sales, while management stayed focused on value and pricing authority amid fluid tariff dynamics. The financials mattered because they converted stronger demand into higher net income, resilient margins, and continued cash-based investment capacity.

EPS rises nearly 14% as comps, traffic, and digital demand reinforce earnings

Costco reported net income of $2.035B, up nearly 14% year over year, with net sales increasing 9.1% to $68.24B. Management tied the sales engine to operational fundamentals, including worldwide traffic up 3.1% and average transaction up 4.2%, which translate higher member activity into stronger revenue.

The quality of growth showed up in how members shopped, comparable sales rose 7.4%, and digitally-enabled comparable sales rose 22.6%. CFO noted, “In Q2, our personalized product recommendation carousels drove over $470 million of e-commerce sales,” linking personalization to conversion.

Guidance centers on sustained investment as margins hold while Costco lowers prices

For CapEx, Costco reported $1.29B spent in Q2 and guided to about $6.5B for fiscal 2026, emphasizing warehouse pipeline, remodeling, depots, and member digital experience. The financial logic is direct, reinvestment supports throughput and growth, while Costco targets maintaining the value proposition even under pricing pressure.

On margins, CFO framed the quarter as disciplined despite headwinds, stating the gross margin rate was up 11 basis points excluding gas deflation and included a nonrecurring legal settlement with a 5 basis point positive impact. He also said overall growth was achieved “when we were also lowering prices for members and managing the impact of tariffs,” which matters because margin resilience sustains earnings even when prices move.

Digital and Kirkland Signature drive mix improvement, with renewal rates influenced by online mix

Costco’s membership economics stayed strong, with membership fee income up 13.6% year over year, and CFO attributed underlying strength to continued membership base growth and executive upgrades. He also stated, “At Q2 end, we had 40.4 million paid executive memberships, up 9.5% versus last year,” which matters because upgrades lift higher-value recurring revenue.

Management explained renewal rates as an online mix effect rather than demand failure, noting the U.S. and Canada renewal rate was 92.1% and the worldwide rate was 89.7%. CFO stated the slight U.S. decline was due to “new online members growing as a percentage of our total base,” and he said retention actions aim to improve renewal behavior.

Product and merchandising reinforced the value model, with fresh comparable sales up low double digits led by meat and bakery, and Ron Vachris emphasized Kirkland Signature as a control point over supply chain. CFO also highlighted pharmacy and ancillary growth, and he noted pharmacy grew faster than total sales, which influenced margin mechanics.

Tariffs stay fluid, but supply and pricing authority support demand, while Q&A stressed execution

Tariffs and refunds remained the near-term uncertainty, with Ron Vachris saying the future impact is “extremely fluid” because eliminated IEEPA tariffs were replaced with new global tariffs for at least the next 150 days. He connected Costco’s ability to manage this to “our expertise in buying and our limited SKU count model,” which matters because fewer SKUs can reduce volatility in what costs do to pricing and availability.

In Q&A, CFO and Ron addressed demand noise and competitive dynamics. On weather, CFO said they saw volatility but “wouldn’t really call anything out,” and he added February traffic in the U.S. was lighter, partly due to “55 warehouses that were closed for a full day.” On competition, he stated they “don’t see any meaningful impact on our membership base,” because Costco focuses on internal price and value execution.

CFO also reinforced the strategic technology roadmap, emphasizing that AI and personalization are being pursued only where they strengthen Costco’s member value and employee productivity. He said the AI approach is not to “chase things that aren’t core to Costco,” keeping innovation tied to measurable improvements rather than experiments without business payoff.

Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified professional before investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How did weather affect January and February sales, and should investors adjust for it?
CFO Gary Millerchip said the weather created volatility but “we wouldn’t really call anything out,” adding that February U.S. traffic was “a little bit lighter” due to “55 warehouses that were closed for a full day.” He said there was no major impact evident after looking at total sales results.
What is Costco’s plan for renewing memberships as the online mix grows, and is there a timeline for improvement?
CFO Gary Millerchip said the U.S. renewal rate was down about 10 basis points while worldwide was flat, and he attributed the overall renewal pressure to digital members renewing at a slightly lower rate. He added they expected “a few more quarters” of slight decline before maturation, while digital retention and targeted communications have slowed the deterioration versus what they expected without interventions.
How is Costco thinking about digital and AI monetization, especially retail media and marketplaces?
CFO Gary Millerchip said personalized communications are the first priority and that retail media is an early-stage opportunity tied to using member relevance to drive visits and items in the basket. On marketplaces, he said the focus is on services that deliver unique value with strong partners, and for AI he emphasized building capabilities that improve Costco’s value, productivity, and member experience.

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