ADM Resolves Investigations, Issues 2026 EPS Guidance of $3.60-$4.25 (ADM Q4 2025 Earnings Call)
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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company reported its fourth-quarter 2025 results alongside the resolution of prior government investigations into its intersegment sales reporting. The company outlined a 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook of $3.60 to $4.25, heavily contingent on pending U.S. biofuel policy clarity and global trade dynamics.
Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Performance
ADM reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $0.87 and full-year adjusted EPS of $3.43. Total segment operating profit reached $821 million for the quarter and $3.2 billion for the year. The company generated a $1.5 billion cash flow benefit through strategic inventory reductions and reported a trailing fourth-quarter adjusted return on invested capital of 6.3 percent. ADM also executed over 20 portfolio optimization projects, yielding approximately $200 million in cost savings.
Investigations Resolved and 2026 Guidance Initiated
CEO Juan Luciano announced the closure of government investigations by the SEC and DOJ regarding the company's prior reporting of intersegment sales. Looking ahead to 2026, management provided an adjusted EPS guidance range of $3.60 to $4.25. The wide range reflects significant uncertainties surrounding the timing and magnitude of the U.S. Renewable Volume Obligations (RVO) mandate and its impact on crush margins. Capital expenditures for 2026 are projected between $1.3 billion and $1.5 billion.
Segment Results Face Margin Pressures
The Ag Services and Oilseeds (AS&O) segment reported fourth-quarter operating profit of $444 million, down 31 percent year-over-year, pressured by weaker crush margins in North and South America. Carbohydrate Solutions posted an operating profit of $299 million, a 6 percent decline, as weakness in starches and sweeteners offset stable ethanol margins. The Nutrition segment's operating profit fell 11 percent to $178 million, primarily due to the absence of insurance proceeds received in the prior year.
Biofuels and Nutrition Growth Strategies
Management anticipates robust ethanol export opportunities driven by mandated markets worldwide. Strength in ethanol is expected to offset continued softness in starches and sweeteners. In the Nutrition segment, ADM expects sequential improvement driven by growth in flavors, recovery in specialty ingredients, and margin expansion in animal nutrition following portfolio streamlining. The newly formed joint venture with Altek has also officially commenced operations.